PMP my run

[marathondan]

It seems the Furman figures aren't much different from the well-known predictor available on RW. You can use that to predict your HM time.

Of course, you should also take terrain and temperature into account. When was the last time you ran a flat HM in ideal conditions?

But yes, in the run-up to London 05, I recorded a 1:39 HM at Reading (a fast course) which apparently put me on course for a 3:26 marathon (reality: 25 minutes longer).

The first two caveats are particularly relevant:

"1. It assumes you've done appropriate training for the distance."

I'm certainly not doing full-on training. Maybe if I ran 5 times a week, plus 3 cross training sessions, I could achieve 3:30.

"2. It assumes you don't have a natural significant bias towards either speed or endurance. Some people, no matter how much training they do, will always over-achieve at one end of the scale."

Maybe, horror of horrors: you, Sweder, are a natural 10K runner and not a marathoner! (Somehow I think the anecdotal evidence against this trumps the formula.)

(Having said that, I have a slight edge on you over HM and 26.2, but you are over 90 sec ahead of me on 10K. Maybe it's true! Sweder's a 10K runner! Sweder's a 10K runner! Har de har!)